Chinese autocracy promotion towards Myanmar and Thailand

Priscilla  Tonetto

doi:10.35305/rr.vi5.78

Autori

Priscilla Tonetto Universitá di Trieste

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.35305/rr.vi5.78

Parole chiave:

Cina, Myanmar, Thailand, Regimi autoritari, Regimi ibridi

Abstract

Nella sua autocracy promotion verso i regimi militari di Myanmar e Thailand, la Cina ha applicato soprattutto incentivi ma anche ricatti. La Cina ha comunque sostenuto anche i regimi ibridi. Poi, la Cina ha sempre preferito il soft all’hard power; la pressione militare è stata indiretta. Si sono sviluppati così forti processi imitativi sia da parte del Myanmar che della Tailandia. Il pragmatismo cinese ha promosso entrambe le opzioni, perché se le Cina avesse ostacolato i regimi ibridi, ciò avrebbe causato la sconfitta delle forze armate e la possibile vittoria degli attori politici filo-occidentali e anti cinesi. Per evitare tale esito, i governi di Pechino hanno adottato una autocracy promotion flessibile, attraverso l’applicazione della real-politik alla politica estera, per tutelare gli interessi diplomatici cinesi.

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